[Summary]
Don't grab a falling knife is a saying that warns against buying too easily during a steep decline.
Don't catch a falling knife.What makes us more likely to fail is not the lack of knowledge itself, but the fact that we end up justifying our hasty decisions afterwards.
In actual investment, you first need to wait for confirmation of a rebound, volume of trading, and material arrangement. However, we cannot overlook the fact that it is easy to buy in the middle of a decline if you enter just because it looks cheap.
In this article, I will explain the concept of "don't catch a falling knife" not as "knowledge" but as a step to check before buying or selling. Don't rush to conclusions, read according to your financial amount and time horizon.
Don't grab a falling knife; separate it first.
When watching Don't Catch a Falling Knife, first determine what you want to judge. The information you need changes depending on whether you want to know the meaning, confirm before buying or selling, or review your current holdings.
Especially for beginners in investing, the easier the words are, the more they tend to take them as a conclusion. Don't grab a falling knife, but that alone is not enough to make a decision. If you want to check it, it is more realistic to look at it in conjunction with fund management, holding period, and opposing materials.
Don't grab a falling knife; it's easy to fail
If you want to see a pattern of failure: don't grab a falling knife, first make your assumptions narrow. It is important not to mix up whether you are talking about the market as a whole, individual stocks, NISA or long-term funds.
If you check the following points, things will be much more organized.
| Axis to check | Don't catch a falling knife, watch it. |
|---|---|
| purpose | What do you use to judge? |
| Time axis | Which is closer to short-term trading, long-term holding, or NISA? |
| basis | Which one is more important: price, business performance, interest rates, exchange rates, or psychology? |
| risk | When things go the other way, where should you look again? |
| action | Will it lead to buying, selling, or doing nothing? |
Points that can easily cause trouble in making decisions
Don't grab a falling knife.It's not only when you lack knowledge that you stumble. In fact, there are situations where we interpret something conveniently because we know a little bit about it.
- Don't make a decision to buy or sell the moment you see a falling knife.
- Don't grab a falling knife. Don't mix up the timeline that suits you and your holding period.
- Don't increase your position to recoup your losses
- Don't make a decision just based on SNS or rankings.
The important thing here is to not grab a falling knife and not to settle on just one correct answer. In investment, the meaning of the same material changes depending on the market, holding period, and amount of funds. When in doubt, prioritize confirmation over conclusion.
Checklist before buying and selling
Before using "Don't grab a falling knife" as a basis for making an actual decision, check at least these five things.
- Can you explain in one sentence the purpose of watching Don't Catch a Falling Knife?
- Have you confirmed one or more countermeasures or failure conditions?
- Are you investing your living funds or money that will be used soon?
- Have you decided in advance the criteria for cutting losses, taking profits, and continuing to hold stocks?
- Are you making judgments based only on social media or short headlines?
Checklists are simple, but they prevent you from adding reasons after making a decision. The purpose of checking not to grab a falling knife is not to make you act faster, but to reduce unnecessary mistakes in judgment.
Summary
Don't catch a falling knife is a resource for organizing your investment decisions. Even if you read it as a failure pattern, treating it as a standalone buy/sell signal will lead to poor judgment.
The points to keep in mind are as follows.
- Don't grab a falling knife. Decide on your purpose first.
- Do not mix time axis and amount of funds
- Check not only good materials but also negative materials
- When using NISA and long-term funds, consider how to handle losses
- When in doubt, reduce your position or postpone it.
The more knowledge you have, the safer it seems, but in the market it can become dangerous if you use it incorrectly. "Don't grab a falling knife" is not a word that forces you to make a hasty decision, but rather should be treated as a tool to help you pause before buying or selling.