[Summary]
Anchoring is the psychology of being drawn to the first price or information you see.
What is most likely to fail in anchoring is not the lack of knowledge itself, but rather the situation in which a hasty decision is justified later.
In actual investing, we start by looking at the current value rather than the purchase price or past high price. However, we cannot overlook the fact that it is easy to remain under the impression that you will return.
In this article, we will organize anchoring not as "knowledge" but as a step to confirm before buying or selling. Don't rush to conclusions, read according to your financial amount and time horizon.
First thing to separate by anchoring
When looking at anchoring, first determine what you want to judge. The information you need will change depending on whether you want to know the meaning, confirm before buying or selling, or review your current holdings.
Especially for beginners in investing, the easier the words are, the more they tend to take them as a conclusion. Anchoring is not the only factor in making decisions. If you want to check it, it is more realistic to look at it in conjunction with fund management, holding period, and opposing materials.
Situations where anchoring tends to fail
If you look at anchoring as a failure pattern, first make a narrow premise. It is important not to mix up whether you are talking about the market as a whole, individual stocks, NISA or long-term funds.
Checking the following points will make things a lot easier.
| Axis to check | What to see in anchoring |
|---|---|
| purpose | What do you use to judge? |
| Time axis | Which is closer to short-term trading, long-term holding, or NISA? |
| basis | Which one is more important: price, business performance, interest rates, exchange rates, or psychology? |
| risk | When things go the other way, where should you look again? |
| action | Will it lead to buying, selling, or doing nothing? |
Points that can easily cause trouble in making decisions
When it comes to anchoring, it's not only when you don't have enough knowledge that you stumble. In fact, there are situations where we interpret something conveniently because we know a little bit about it.
- Don't make a buy/sell decision the moment you see the anchoring.
- Do not mix the time frame that suits anchoring with your own holding period
- Don't increase your position to recoup your losses
- Don't make a decision just based on SNS or rankings.
The important thing here is not to settle on a single correct answer based solely on anchoring. In investment, the meaning of the same material changes depending on the market, holding period, and amount of funds. When in doubt, prioritize confirmation over conclusion.
Checklist before buying and selling
Check these five things at least before making an actual decision on anchoring.
- Can you explain in one sentence the purpose of watching anchoring?
- Have you confirmed one or more countermeasures or failure conditions?
- Are you investing your living funds or money that will be used soon?
- Have you decided in advance the criteria for cutting losses, taking profits, and continuing to hold stocks?
- Are you making judgments based only on social media or short headlines?
Checklists are simple, but they prevent you from adding reasons after making a decision. The purpose of checking anchoring is not to make you act faster, but to reduce unnecessary errors in judgment.
Summary
Anchoring is a material for organizing investment decisions. Even if you read it as a failure pattern, treating it as a standalone buy/sell signal will lead to poor judgment.
The points to keep in mind are as follows.
- Decide the purpose of looking at anchoring first
- Do not mix time axis and amount of funds
- Check not only good materials but also negative materials
- When using NISA and long-term funds, consider how to handle losses
- When in doubt, reduce your position or postpone it.
The more knowledge you have, the safer it seems, but in the market it can become dangerous if you use it incorrectly. It is realistic to treat anchoring as a tool to pause before buying or selling, rather than a word that forces you to make a hasty decision.