[Summary]
The Three Crows is a candlestick pattern with a series of negative lines and a weak flow.
If you replace the three crows with actual examples, it will be easier to see the difference between situations where it can be used and situations where it is difficult to use.
In actual investment, first check for stalling or selling pressure after a rise. However, we cannot overlook the fact that short selling based on appearance alone can lead to an increase.
In this article, we will organize the three crows not as "knowledge" but as steps to check before buying or selling. Don't rush to conclusions, read according to your financial amount and time horizon.
First, divide by three crows.
When looking at the Three Crows, first decide what you want to judge. The information you need will change depending on whether you want to know the meaning, confirm before buying or selling, or review your current holdings.
Especially for beginners in investing, the easier the words are, the more they tend to take them as a conclusion. The three crows are not enough to make a decision on their own. If you want to check it, it is more realistic to look at it in conjunction with fund management, holding period, and opposing materials.
Consider the Three Crows as an example
If we look at the Three Crows as an example, we first have a narrow premise. It is important not to mix up whether you are talking about the market as a whole, individual stocks, NISA or long-term funds.
Checking the following points will make things a lot easier.
| Axis to check | What to see in Three Crows |
|---|---|
| purpose | What do you use to judge? |
| Time axis | Which is closer to short-term trading, long-term holding, or NISA? |
| basis | Which one is more important: price, business performance, interest rates, exchange rates, or psychology? |
| risk | When things go the other way, where should you look again? |
| action | Will it lead to buying, selling, or doing nothing? |
Points that can easily cause trouble in making decisions
The reason we stumble with the Three Crows is not only when we lack knowledge. In fact, there are situations where we interpret something conveniently because we know a little bit about it.
- Focus on one scene where the three crows work well
- Even if the price movements are similar, if the background is different, they are treated as different things.
- View not only successes but also failures using the same criteria.
- Check if you can reproduce it with your own amount of funds
The important thing here is not to decide on just one correct answer based on the three crows. In investment, the meaning of the same material changes depending on the market, holding period, and amount of funds. When in doubt, prioritize confirmation over conclusion.
Checklist before buying and selling
Please check at least these five things before using Sanba Karasu as the basis for your actual judgment.
- Can you explain in one sentence the purpose of looking at the Three Crows?
- Have you confirmed one or more countermeasures or failure conditions?
- Are you investing your living funds or money that will be used soon?
- Have you decided in advance the criteria for cutting losses, taking profits, and continuing to hold stocks?
- Are you making judgments based only on social media or short headlines?
Checklists are simple, but they prevent you from adding reasons after making a decision. The purpose of checking the Three Crows is not to speed up action, but to reduce unnecessary errors in judgment.
Summary
The Three Crows is a material for organizing investment decisions. Even if you read it as an example, your judgment will be inaccurate if you treat it as a standalone buy/sell signal.
The points to keep in mind are as follows.
- Decide first the purpose of seeing the Three Crows
- Do not mix time axis and amount of funds
- Check not only good materials but also negative materials
- When using NISA and long-term funds, consider how to handle losses
- When in doubt, reduce your position or postpone it.
The more knowledge you have, the safer it seems, but in the market it can become dangerous if you use it incorrectly. It is realistic to treat the three crows as a tool to pause before buying or selling, rather than as a word that forces you to make a hasty decision.