[Summary]
The inverted head and shoulders is a typical shape that shows bottoming out with three valleys.
What is most likely to fail with reverse head and shoulders is not the lack of knowledge itself, but rather the situation in which a hasty decision is justified later.
In actual investment, we first check the push after the neckline is broken. However, we cannot overlook the fact that it is easy to assume that it is a reversal before it is completed.
In this article, we will organize Reverse Head and Shoulders not as "knowledge" but as a step to check before buying or selling. Don't rush to conclusions, read according to your financial amount and time horizon.
First, separate by reverse head and shoulders.
When looking at reverse head and shoulders, first determine what you want to judge. The information you need will change depending on whether you want to know the meaning, confirm before buying or selling, or review your current holdings.
Especially for beginners in investing, the easier the words are, the more they tend to take them as a conclusion. Reverse head and shoulders is also not a factor in making decisions on its own. If you want to check it, it is more realistic to look at it in conjunction with fund management, holding period, and opposing materials.
Situations where reverse head and shoulders are likely to fail
If you want to look at reverse head and shoulders as a failure pattern, first make a narrow premise. It is important not to mix up whether you are talking about the market as a whole, individual stocks, NISA or long-term funds.
Checking the following points will make things a lot easier.
| Axis to check | Reverse head and shoulders view |
|---|---|
| purpose | What do you use to judge? |
| Time axis | Which is closer to short-term trading, long-term holding, or NISA? |
| basis | Which one is more important: price, business performance, interest rates, exchange rates, or psychology? |
| risk | When things go the other way, where should you look again? |
| action | Will it lead to buying, selling, or doing nothing? |
Points that can easily cause trouble in making decisions
The problem with reverse head and shoulders isn't only when you don't have enough knowledge. In fact, there are situations where we interpret something conveniently because we know a little bit about it.
- Don't decide to buy or sell the moment you see an inverted head and shoulders.
- Do not mix the time frame that fits the reverse head and shoulders with your own holding period.
- Don't increase your position to recoup your losses
- Don't make a decision just based on SNS or rankings.
The important thing here is not to settle on just one correct answer based on reverse head and shoulders. In investment, the meaning of the same material changes depending on the market, holding period, and amount of funds. When in doubt, prioritize confirmation over conclusion.
Checklist before buying and selling
Before using reverse head and shoulders as a basis for actual judgment, check at least these five things.
- Can you explain in one sentence the purpose of watching Reverse Head and Shoulders?
- Have you confirmed one or more countermeasures or failure conditions?
- Are you investing your living funds or money that will be used soon?
- Have you decided in advance the criteria for cutting losses, taking profits, and continuing to hold stocks?
- Are you making judgments based only on social media or short headlines?
Checklists are simple, but they prevent you from adding reasons after making a decision. The purpose of checking the reverse head and shoulders is not to speed up the action, but to reduce unnecessary errors in judgment.
Summary
Reverse head and shoulders is a material for organizing investment decisions. Even if you read it as a failure pattern, treating it as a standalone buy/sell signal will lead to poor judgment.
The points to keep in mind are as follows.
- Decide the purpose of watching Reverse Head and Shoulders first.
- Do not mix time axis and amount of funds
- Check not only good materials but also negative materials
- When using NISA and long-term funds, consider how to handle losses
- When in doubt, reduce your position or postpone it.
The more knowledge you have, the safer it seems, but in the market it can become dangerous if you use it incorrectly. Reverse head and shoulders is not a word that forces you to make a hasty decision, but it is realistic to treat it as a tool to pause before buying or selling.