[Summary]

Operating cash flow is an item that shows how much cash a company generates from its core business. Even if you are making a profit, if your operating cash flow is weak, you may not have enough cash left due to an increase in accounts receivable or an accumulation of inventory. On the other hand, if operating cash flow is stable and positive, it will be easier to see if there is a foundation for investments and dividends. The important thing is to check operating cash flow along with profits and judge whether the company has a structure that can continuously generate cash. This article is an explanation for educational purposes and is not intended to recommend any particular stock.

First, the conclusion

Operating cash flow is one of the most important indicators of a company's ``cash generation ability''.

Profit on the income statement is an accounting number, but operating cash flow can be read as if it were actually cash coming in or going out.

Therefore, even if profits are increasing, you should be careful if operating cash flow is weak. On the other hand, if operating cash flow is stable and positive, it is easier to think that there is a foundation to support capital investment, loan repayments, and shareholder returns.

How it works

The cash flow statement mainly consists of the following three parts:

classificationwhat to showTypical example
Operating cash flowAbility to earn cash from your main jobProduct sales, service provision, purchasing and expense payments
investment cash flowmovement to use cash for the futureCapital investment, M&A, securities acquisition, asset sales
financial cash flowTrends in financing, repayments, and shareholder returnsBorrowing, repayment, dividends, share buybacks, capital increase

Of these, operating cash flow represents the cash balance generated from the main business, such as selling products and providing services.

ItemImpact on operating cash flowHow to read
Collected payment for goods and servicesPlusI have cash from my day job
Paid the purchase price and labor costsMinusCash is available as working capital for the main business.
Accounts receivable increasedNegative factorEven though sales are up, cash collection is delayed.
Inventory has increasedNegative factorCash is turned into inventory
Accounts payable increasedpositive factorsI moved the payment later and still have cash left over.

Specific example

Even if a business is in the black, it looks different depending on the strength of its operating cash flow.

caseprofitOperating cash flowhow to see it
cash generating typesurplusbig plusI am able to collect cash from my main business.
profit-driven typesurplusweak or negativeCash collection may be delayed compared to sales recording

Cases with strong operating cash flow

Companies whose main business is stable and sales proceeds are well collected are likely to have consistently positive operating cash flow.

Itemamount
Sales100 billion yen
Operating profit12 billion yen
Operating cash flow+15 billion yen

In this case, it is easy to think that not only profits but also cash remain, and the company is able to secure funds for investments, repayments, and shareholder returns from its main business.

Cases where profits are made but operating cash flow is weak

On the other hand, if accounts receivable increase or inventory accumulates significantly, operating cash flow may become weak even if profits are generated.

Itemamount
Sales100 billion yen
Operating profit10 billion yen
Operating cash flow+1 billion yen

In this case, even though the company is in the black, it may not be able to collect enough cash. You need to pay more attention to your cash flow than the appearance of the numbers.

Points to see

Are profits and operating cash flow linked?

The first thing to check is whether there is a large discrepancy between operating income, net income, and operating cash flow. If the discrepancy is large, it is better to look at the effects of changes in accounts receivable, inventory, advances received, etc.

Are you able to continue to maintain positive results?

Even if there is a temporary positive result in a single year, that alone does not provide peace of mind. It is easier to evaluate the cash-generating ability of a company's core business if it maintains a stable positive return over several years.

Changes in accounts receivable and inventory

When operating cash flow is weak, check to see if an increase in accounts receivable or inventory is the cause. Even if sales are increasing, if collection is delayed or inventory accumulates, cash will not increase as much as expected.

Can you support investment and returns?

If operating cash flow is stable, it will be easier to see the sustainability of capital investment, loan repayments, and dividends. On the other hand, if this is weak, it is necessary to check whether investment and returns are dependent on borrowing.

Points to note

When looking at operating cash flow, be careful of the following misconceptions:

common misconceptionsactual view
Don't worry if you're in the blackThere may be no cash left due to increases in accounts receivable and inventory.
It is enough if operating cash flow is positive once.Continuity is important, not a one-year temporary factor.
If it's negative, it's immediately bad.It may worsen during the early stages of growth or when there is a temporary increase in working capital.
Just looking at profits is enoughIt is difficult to grasp the actual situation unless you also look at whether there is cash left.

action steps

If you are a beginner and want to check it out, the following order is easy to understand.

orderCheck itemsReason to watch
1Compare operating income and operating cash flowUnderstand the gap between profits and cash
2View changes in accounts receivable and inventoryYou can check the reason why there is no cash left
3Check trends over the yearsEasy to distinguish between temporary causes and continuing trends
4Read together with investment CF and financial CFUnderstand whether the cash you earn can support your investments and repayments.

Summary

Operating cash flow is an important indicator of how much cash a company is generating from its core business. If you have no cash left even if you are making a profit, you need to pay attention to your cash flow and sustainability of growth. On the other hand, if operating cash flow is stable and positive, it is easy to see that the company's foundations are relatively solid.

What is important is to check not only profits, but also the movement of accounts receivable and inventory, continuity over several years, and the balance with investments and returns.

This article is for educational and informational purposes only, based on public information. It is not a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any specific security or financial product. Although care is taken with accuracy, the content and future investment outcomes are not guaranteed. Final investment decisions should be made at your own judgment and responsibility.