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When you replace the dark forest law with a stock trade, the important thing is to survive without notice on the market.
In this article, we will use information battles, breakouts, and fund management to organize the idea that beginners will avoid big failures.
What is the Dark Forest Law?
Dark Forest Law
In an environment where the other party's intention is not read, it should move defensively
It is a way of thinking.
This is a definition of the theory of survival strategy of space civilization built by La Gy, who appeared in the SF novel "Three Body II Dark Forest" of Liu Jixin. This desperate law is led mainly from two axioms and two important concepts.
Two Agencies
The first thing is that survival is the first desire of civilization.
No matter how advanced civilization, there is no meaning if you do not survive.
The second is that civilization continues to grow and expand, while the total amount of materials and resources in the universe is constant.
In other words, the growing civilization may eventually deprive the limited resources.
Two important concepts
“Suspicious Chain” and “Technical。” are important in the dark forest law.
| 概念 | 内容 |
|---|---|
| Q&A | I can not check whether the opponent is good intention or bad intention, and the feeling of disbelief |
| Technology 技術 | Even weaker opponents can quickly grow rapidly and become future threats |
The chain of suspiciousness is not only the heart of the opponent, but also the state that "how the opponent sees himself" does not know.
Even if you don’t have an enemy, you can’t believe it. In addition, there is no guarantee that you trust the other party.
If this inconvenient is chained, it becomes difficult to build trust by dialogue.
The technology explosion is the idea that it is possible to force at once even if it is a weak presence now.
Aerospace time scales can not judge safety only with current weakness.
Same as stock market. In the market, there are individual investors, institutional investors, AI transactions, and short-term.
Their purpose is not visible.
| Market Participants | Main Features |
|---|---|
| Individual Investors | Easy to move with s |
| Investors | Large amount of money |
| Short-term | Use value movement |
| AI Trading | Buy and Sell at High Speed |
In other words, the market is a completely invisible forest.
Three Defences Important in Stock Trading
The conclusion is "Making a mechanism that does not leave before winning".
1. Don’t believe in the information
Materials and SNS information are attractive. However, it may be slow when information comes out.
beginner misunderstanding
Good news = stock price rise
I think.
In fact, it may be sold in favorable materials. because it is already woven into the stock price.
2. De the cutting line first
What is a break?
A rule to withdraw when the expected
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When judged by feelings, losses become larger. Before you buy
- Where to Buy
- Where to Sell
- How much damage is allowed?
As an example, there is a way of thinking that reduces one loss within 1 to 2% of the funds.
3. Fund management beyond attack
Fund Management
Distribution that does not cause fatal damage in one failure
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In dark forests, it is more important to stay hidden and more alive than to show strong. Same as trading.
| Action | Risk |
|---|---|
| 全 | High |
| Nanpin | High |
| Split Entry | Low |
| Leave cash ratio | Low |
It is not a big win. This is a premise that remains in the market for a long time.
Benefits and Demerits
The advantage of this approach is that it is easy to act calmly. Even if the market is rough, it will be lost if there is a rule.
On the other hand, there is aメリット. If you are too careful, you may miss a big rise.
That’s why it’s not a complete defense,
Try small and draw quickly if you mistake
is.
How to use
Note the following three points before trading:
- Why Buy
- Contact Us
- Per 1ible Loss
You can not write any of these three transactions.
In a dark forest type stock trade,
I don't move when I don't know
It is also a good strategy.
- The dark forest law is led from survival desires, resource約s, suspicious chains and technological技術s
- The market is invisible
- See price responses without too much information
- De 切り and Fund Management
- The purpose is not to leave beyond winning
- Write the reason to buy, withdraw conditions and allowance loss before the next transaction