[Summary]
A bull market is a term used to describe a market where there are strong expectations for price increases.
What's more likely to fail in a bull market is not the lack of knowledge itself, but the fact that you later justify your hasty decisions.
In actual investing, the starting point is to look at the market's risk tolerance and buying appetite. However, you need to be careful that if you get too carried away with the bullish atmosphere, it is easy to grab high prices.
In this article, we will organize the bullish market not as "knowledge" but as a procedure to check before buying or selling. Don't rush to conclusions, read according to your financial amount and time horizon.
First, divide by bull (bull market)
When looking at a bull market, first determine what you want to judge. The information you need will change depending on whether you want to know the meaning, confirm before buying or selling, or review your current holdings.
Especially for beginners in investing, the easier the words are, the more they tend to take them as a conclusion. A bull market is not the only factor in making a decision. If you want to check it, it is more realistic to look at it in conjunction with fund management, holding period, and opposing materials.
Situations where it is easy to fail in a bull market
If you want to look at a bull market as a failure pattern, first make narrow assumptions. It is important not to mix up whether you are talking about the market as a whole, individual stocks, NISA or long-term funds.
Checking the following points will make things a lot easier.
| Axis to check | What to see in a bull market |
|---|---|
| purpose | What do you use to judge? |
| Time axis | Which is closer to short-term trading, long-term holding, or NISA? |
| basis | Which one is more important: price, business performance, interest rates, exchange rates, or psychology? |
| risk | When things go the other way, where should you look again? |
| action | Will it lead to buying, selling, or doing nothing? |
Points that can easily cause trouble in making decisions
It's not only when you lack knowledge that you stumble during a bull market. In fact, there are situations where we interpret something conveniently because we know a little bit about it.
- Don't decide to buy or sell the moment you see a bull market.
- Do not mix your own holding period with the time frame that suits the bull market.
- Don't increase your position to recoup your losses
- Don't make a decision just based on SNS or rankings.
The important thing here is not to settle on just one correct answer based on the bull market. In investment, the meaning of the same material changes depending on the market, holding period, and amount of funds. When in doubt, prioritize confirmation over conclusion.
Checklist before buying and selling
Before using the bull market as a basis for making an actual decision, check at least these five things.
- Can you explain in one sentence the purpose of watching the bull market?
- Have you confirmed one or more countermeasures or failure conditions?
- Are you investing your living funds or money that will be used soon?
- Have you decided in advance the criteria for cutting losses, taking profits, and continuing to hold stocks?
- Are you making judgments based only on social media or short headlines?
Checklists are simple, but they prevent you from adding reasons after making a decision. The purpose of confirming a bull market is not to act faster, but to reduce unnecessary mistakes in judgment.
Summary
Bull market (bull market) is a material for organizing investment decisions. Even if you read it as a failure pattern, treating it as a standalone buy/sell signal will lead to poor judgment.
The points to keep in mind are as follows.
- Decide first the purpose of watching the bull market
- Do not mix time axis and amount of funds
- Check not only good materials but also negative materials
- When using NISA and long-term funds, consider how to handle losses
- When in doubt, reduce your position or postpone it.
The more knowledge you have, the safer it seems, but in the market it can become dangerous if you use it incorrectly. It is realistic to treat bull market as a tool to pause before buying or selling, rather than as a word that forces you to make hasty decisions.