Contact
The black bird theory is a way of thinking that shows events that rarely occur but have a big impact.
The merit of the black bird theory is not a promise of profit, it is a point to make it easier to organize the material to see.
In actual investments, it is the starting point to confirm unexpected preparation and dispersion. However, if you are too scared of everything, you need to be careful.
In this article, we will organize the black bird theory as a procedure to confirm before buying and selling. Do not rush to the conclusions and read them according to your own amount and time axis.
First of all, the black bird theory
When you look at the black bird theory, you will be part of what you want to judge. The necessary information changes depending on whether you want to know the meaning, check before buying or selling, or whether you are holding a review.
In particular, beginners tend to receive as conclusions as easy-to-understand words. The black bird theory is not a material that decides it. If you confirm, it is moreto review it together with capital management, holding period, and counterarguments.
Never overestimate the benefits of black bird theory
If you look at the black bird theory as a merit, put the premise narrowly. It is important to not mix the story of the entire market, the story of the individual brand, or the story of NA and long-term funds.
When you check the following points, the story is pretty organized.
| Axis to check | Black Bird Theory |
|---|---|
| Purpose | What to use to determine |
| Time axis | How close to short-term trading, long-term holding and NA? |
| Home | Which is the center of price, performance, interest rate, exchange rate, and after-sales service |
| Risks | Where can I see when I move? |
| Action | Which leads to buying, selling, nothing |
Easy to stitch by judgment
The black bird theory is not only when knowledge is not enough. However, there is a situation where you can interpret it easily because you know a little.
- Decide what will be seen in the black bird theory first
- Key point
- If the expected value is too high, it will be verified in a small amount
- Write a withdrawal condition ahead of profit
The main thing here is that the black bird theory does not decide the correct answer to one. In investments, the meaning changes depending on the period of ownership and the amount of funds. Prioritize the confirmation order from the conclusion.
Pre-sale checklist
Before making the black bird theory into the actual judgment material, check the minimum of five.
- Is it possible to explain the purpose of watching the black bird theory in a sentence?
- Have you checked one or more of the opposite material or failure conditions?
- Are you investing in living funds or nearby money?
- Determining the standards forstop-loss, profit-taking, and holding criteria
- SNS or short heading
Checklists are plain, but they prevent the habit of adding reasons after deciding. The purpose of confirming the black bird theory is to reduce excessive judgment mistakes rather than to make actions faster.
Conclusion
Black bird theory is a material to organize investment decisions. Even if you read it as a merit, it will be rough if you treat it as a single sales sign.
The point to press is as follows:
- The purpose of seeing the black bird theory is decided first
- Do not mix time axis and amount of money
- Check not only good materials but also other materials
- N、 and long-term funds think about loss
- If you are unsure of the decision, you can either reduce the position
Knowledge seems to be more secure, but if you mistake the scene you use in the market, you will be in danger. The black bird theory is practical to treat it as a tool to stop at once before buying and selling.