[Summary]
If you wait for a push but there is no push, in a strong market, a buying opportunity may not come even if you wait.
What is most likely to lead to failure is not the lack of knowledge itself, but the fact that you end up justifying your hasty decisions afterwards.
In actual investment, we start by participating in uptrends by buying in installments. However, we cannot overlook the fact that this can easily become an excuse to rush and chase high prices.
In this article, I will explain how to wait for a good deal, but not as a matter of "knowledge", but as a procedure to check before buying or selling. Don't rush to conclusions, read according to your financial amount and time horizon.
First, separate the parts without pressing them.
When looking at ``no hit'' or ``no hit'', first determine what you want to judge. The information you need will change depending on whether you want to know the meaning, confirm before buying or selling, or review your current holdings.
Especially for beginners in investing, the easier the words are, the more they tend to take them as a conclusion. Waiting for a push or no push is not enough to make a decision. If you want to check it, it is more realistic to look at it in conjunction with fund management, holding period, and opposing materials.
Situations where it is easy to fail when waiting for a press time and not having a press time
If you want to look at waiting for a push and no push as a failure pattern, first make your assumptions narrow. It is important not to mix up whether you are talking about the market as a whole, individual stocks, NISA or long-term funds.
Checking the following points will make things a lot easier.
| Axis to check | To watch without waiting for the moment |
|---|---|
| purpose | What do you use to judge? |
| Time axis | Which is closer to short-term trading, long-term holding, or NISA? |
| basis | Which one is more important: price, business performance, interest rates, exchange rates, or psychology? |
| risk | When things go the other way, where should you look again? |
| action | Will it lead to buying, selling, or doing nothing? |
Points that can easily cause trouble in making decisions
It's not only when you don't have enough knowledge that you stumble while waiting for the right time. In fact, there are situations where we interpret something conveniently because we know a little bit about it.
- Don't decide whether to buy or sell at the moment you see no push.
- Do not mix up your own holding period with a time axis that fits without waiting for a push.
- Don't increase your position to recoup your losses
- Don't make a decision just based on SNS or rankings.
The important thing here is not to settle on one correct answer just by waiting for the push and waiting for the push. In investment, the meaning of the same material changes depending on the market, holding period, and amount of funds. When in doubt, prioritize confirmation over conclusion.
Checklist before buying and selling
Please check these five things at least before using the actual judgment of waiting for a push or no push.
- Can you explain in one sentence the purpose of watching Waiting for Waiting and Waiting for Waiting?
- Have you confirmed one or more countermeasures or failure conditions?
- Are you investing your living funds or money that will be used soon?
- Have you decided in advance the criteria for cutting losses, taking profits, and continuing to hold stocks?
- Are you making judgments based only on social media or short headlines?
Checklists are simple, but they prevent you from adding reasons after making a decision. The purpose of checking to see if there is a hit while waiting for a hit is not to speed up the action, but to reduce unnecessary judgment errors.
Summary
Waiting for the best chance and no last chance is a material for organizing your investment decisions. Even if you read it as a failure pattern, treating it as a standalone buy/sell signal will lead to poor judgment.
The points to keep in mind are as follows.
- Decide in advance the purpose of watching the press while waiting for the press.
- Do not mix time axis and amount of funds
- Check not only good materials but also negative materials
- When using NISA and long-term funds, consider how to handle losses
- When in doubt, reduce your position or postpone it.
The more knowledge you have, the safer it seems, but in the market it can become dangerous if you use it incorrectly. It is realistic to treat the words ``waiting for a good deal'' as a tool to pause before buying or selling, rather than words that force you to make a hasty decision.