[Summary]
A desire market is a market where the desire for profits is strong and risks are ignored.
If you replace the desire market with actual examples, it will be easier to see the difference between situations where it can be used and situations where it is difficult to use.
In actual investment, the first step is to recalculate the expected loss during a sudden rise. However, we cannot overlook the point of overheating and losing the exit.
In this article, we will organize the desire market not as "knowledge" but as a procedure to check before buying or selling. Don't rush to conclusions, read according to your financial amount and time horizon.
First, divide by desire market
When looking at the desire market, first determine what you want to judge. The information you need will change depending on whether you want to know the meaning, confirm before buying or selling, or review your current holdings.
Especially for beginners in investing, the easier the words are, the more they tend to take them as a conclusion. The desire market is not the only material used to make decisions. If you want to check it, it is more realistic to look at it in conjunction with fund management, holding period, and opposing materials.
Consider the desire market as an example
If we look at the desire market as an example, we first make a narrow premise. It is important not to mix up whether you are talking about the market as a whole, individual stocks, NISA or long-term funds.
Checking the following points will make things a lot easier.
| Axis to check | What to see in the desire market |
|---|---|
| purpose | What do you use to judge? |
| Time axis | Which is closer to short-term trading, long-term holding, or NISA? |
| basis | Which one is more important: price, business performance, interest rates, exchange rates, or psychology? |
| risk | When things go the other way, where should you look again? |
| action | Will it lead to buying, selling, or doing nothing? |
Points that can easily cause trouble in making decisions
It is not only when you lack knowledge that you stumble in the desire market. In fact, there are situations where we interpret something conveniently because we know a little bit about it.
- Focus on one scene where the desire market works well
- Even if the price movements are similar, if the background is different, they are treated as different things.
- View not only successes but also failures using the same criteria.
- Check if you can reproduce it with your own amount of funds
The important thing here is not to settle on a single correct answer based solely on the desire market. In investment, the meaning of the same material changes depending on the market, holding period, and amount of funds. When in doubt, prioritize confirmation over conclusion.
Checklist before buying and selling
Before using the desire market as an actual decision material, check at least these five things.
- Can you explain in one sentence the purpose of watching the desire market?
- Have you confirmed one or more countermeasures or failure conditions?
- Are you investing your living funds or money that will be used soon?
- Have you decided in advance the criteria for cutting losses, taking profits, and continuing to hold stocks?
- Are you making judgments based only on social media or short headlines?
Checklists are simple, but they prevent you from adding reasons after making a decision. The purpose of checking the desire market is not to speed up your actions, but to reduce unnecessary mistakes in judgment.
Summary
The desire market is a material for organizing investment decisions. Even if you read it as an example, your judgment will be inaccurate if you treat it as a standalone buy/sell signal.
The points to keep in mind are as follows.
- Decide first the purpose of looking at the desire market
- Do not mix time axis and amount of funds
- Check not only good materials but also negative materials
- When using NISA and long-term funds, consider how to handle losses
- When in doubt, reduce your position or postpone it.
The more knowledge you have, the safer it seems, but in the market it can become dangerous if you use it incorrectly. It is realistic to treat the desire market as a tool to pause before buying or selling, rather than as a word that forces you to make a hasty decision.